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Red50
603817.4
815810.1
943613.1
Blue61
757630.6
81739.7
565523.9
26%Model gave it74%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52700204060801001205061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+37
Endgame+35
Fouls+11
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +40
3Coral scored#8
11Coral points29
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#4
0Processor points6
0Net points16
0Algae points22
11Total teleop51
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#3
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
24Foul points0
50Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6038
#20
17.42.3
17.815.5
Auto6.5
Teleop6.6
End4.3
blue by 13.2
7576
#25
30.60.0
25.925.9
Auto3.8
Teleop25.7
End1.2
Second
9436
#41
13.12.3
12.410.1
Auto3.0
Teleop8.3
End1.8
blue by 10.7
23.90.0
18.418.4
Auto3.4
Teleop12.7
End7.8
Third
8158
#32
10.12.3
16.314.0
Auto2.9
Teleop4.6
End2.6
red by 0.4
8173
#19
9.70.0
16.616.6
Auto3.3
Teleop5.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed