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Qual 602025 Marmara Regional
Red103
954510.8
943613.1
815956.8
Blue116
96017.4
645952.3
1042841.3
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7111250100150103116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+13
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave3
4Coral scored#5
18Coral points27
24Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +7
11Coral scored#17
39Coral points60
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
18Processor points12
20Net points12
38Algae points24
77Total teleop84
Reef
5L4#8
6L3#6
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
103Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8159
#5
56.82.2
52.6→54.8
Auto18.7
Teleop37.7
End0.4
red by 4.5
6459
#3
52.31.1
52.5→53.6
Auto11.1
Teleop39.1
End2.1
Second
9436
#41
13.13.4
9.7→13.1
Auto3.0
Teleop8.3
End1.8
blue by 28.1
10428
#4
41.31.1
40.4→41.5
Auto12.9
Teleop27.4
End0.9
Third
9545
#39
10.83.4
7.5→10.9
Auto2.8
Teleop7.2
End0.7
red by 3.3
9601
#34
7.41.1
6.3→7.4
Auto2.7
Teleop4.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsMissed86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed