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Red88
960964.2
1024411.2
944012.9
Blue32
85006.5
1013213.2
774816.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101310204060801201401608832

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+50Teleop
+62Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
3Coral scored#0
13Coral points0
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +43
11Coral scored#4
39Coral points14
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
6Processor points0
16Net points4
22Algae points4
61Total teleop18
Reef
6L4#2
5L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
19Game pieces#5
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
0Foul points6
88Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.20.1
62.062.2
Auto14.4
Teleop41.3
End8.5
red by 47.8
7748
#38
16.40.8
16.115.2
Auto4.3
Teleop11.5
End0.5
Second
9440
#29
12.90.2
12.712.9
Auto1.9
Teleop7.8
End3.2
blue by 0.2
13.21.3
14.413.2
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End1.8
Third
11.20.1
11.111.2
Auto2.8
Teleop5.4
End3.0
red by 4.7
8500
#49
6.51.3
7.76.5
Auto2.0
Teleop3.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned15%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned8%Barge oddsMissed