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Red18
94514.1
1050211.8
Blue75
947314.1
565523.9
826423.6
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions256904060801001201401875

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+29
Endgame+51
Fouls+57
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points15
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +23
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points16
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
3Total teleop26
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#2
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
2Foul points8
18Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.81.0
11.410.5
Auto4.1
Teleop5.7
End2.0
blue by 12.0
23.91.2
19.620.7
Auto3.4
Teleop12.7
End7.8
Second
7.81.0
8.77.8
Auto3.6
Teleop4.1
End0.1
blue by 15.8
8264
#11
23.61.2
23.124.3
Auto6.2
Teleop9.2
End8.2
Third
9451
#28
4.11.0
5.14.1
Auto2.7
Teleop0.3
End1.1
blue by 10.0
9473
#14
14.11.2
13.114.3
Auto3.3
Teleop7.8
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed71%Barge oddsEarned