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Red57
753634.6
1023425.7
577316.4
Blue14
1030818.0
774212.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions676002040801001201405714

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+41Teleop
+43Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +38
11Coral scored#2
40Coral points6
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
44Total teleop6
Reef
5L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
12Game pieces#3
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points0
57Total score14

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.60.2
23.623.4
Auto7.2
Teleop26.5
End0.9
red by 16.6
18.04.5
18.013.5
Auto5.2
Teleop10.7
End2.1
Second
25.76.7
24.417.7
Auto6.4
Teleop17.6
End1.6
red by 13.3
7742
#24
12.34.3
17.313.0
Auto3.4
Teleop8.3
End0.6
Third
5773
#34
16.40.2
17.016.8
Auto2.9
Teleop12.6
End0.9
red by 9.8
6.66.9
6.613.5
Auto1.1
Teleop4.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed