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Red21
90267.2
807114.7
Blue69
1030818.0
601420.8
952322.0
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4361020801001202169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+38
Endgame+42
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave3
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +31
2Coral scored#6
6Coral points23
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
6Total teleop37
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#4
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
4Foul points10
21Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8071
#42
14.72.7
16.513.8
Auto3.3
Teleop9.2
End2.2
blue by 7.3
9523
#17
22.00.6
21.522.0
Auto5.8
Teleop15.0
End1.2
Second
9.42.7
14.311.6
Auto3.1
Teleop6.2
End0.1
blue by 11.4
6014
#10
20.80.6
19.620.1
Auto5.8
Teleop12.0
End3.1
Third
9026
#36
7.22.7
10.67.9
Auto2.2
Teleop4.1
End0.9
blue by 10.8
18.00.6
12.813.4
Auto5.2
Teleop10.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed