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Red91
774212.3
1020916.0
821445.4
Blue46
601420.8
1069211.1
1042215.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74562040801001209146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+45Teleop
+47Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave0
3Coral scored#4
14Coral points19
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +41
9Coral scored#5
34Coral points17
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
12Processor points0
16Net points4
28Algae points4
62Total teleop21
Reef
6L4#4
3L3#3
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#10
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points2
91Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.41.5
42.443.9
Auto12.5
Teleop32.4
End0.5
red by 24.6
6014
#10
20.81.6
21.419.8
Auto5.8
Teleop12.0
End3.1
Second
16.01.5
14.516.0
Auto3.5
Teleop11.0
End1.5
red by 0.1
15.91.6
17.515.9
Auto4.0
Teleop9.8
End2.0
Third
7742
#24
12.31.5
10.912.3
Auto3.4
Teleop8.3
End0.6
red by 1.2
11.11.6
12.711.1
Auto4.6
Teleop5.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed