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Red74
1023425.7
290517.6
757625.9
Blue50
577316.4
902011.3
908918.0
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8154020401001207450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+44Teleop
+42Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
0Leave0
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points13
12Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +45
11Coral scored#3
40Coral points11
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
12Processor points0
8Net points4
20Algae points4
60Total teleop15
Reef
6L4#2
4L3#1
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points18
74Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7576
#16
25.90.0
27.327.3
Auto4.3
Teleop20.5
End1.1
red by 7.9
9089
#21
18.00.6
19.619.0
Auto3.3
Teleop12.2
End2.4
Second
25.70.0
27.127.1
Auto6.4
Teleop17.6
End1.6
red by 9.3
5773
#34
16.40.6
18.017.4
Auto2.9
Teleop12.6
End0.9
Third
2905
#27
17.60.0
19.119.1
Auto3.9
Teleop11.1
End2.6
red by 6.3
11.30.6
13.012.4
Auto3.6
Teleop6.4
End1.3