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Red98
687427.2
808425.6
923126.6
Blue35
908918.0
902011.3
577316.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89480204060801001201409835

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+75Teleop
+75Endgame
+63Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
6Leave3
2Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
16Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +62
13Coral scored#3
46Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
5Net algae#0
6Processor points0
20Net points0
26Algae points0
72Total teleop10
Reef
6L4#1
5L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
21Game pieces#3
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +63
6Foul points18
98Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6874
#25
27.20.4
27.227.6
Auto4.5
Teleop21.1
End1.6
red by 9.3
9089
#21
18.01.0
19.018.0
Auto3.3
Teleop12.2
End2.4
Second
9231
#12
26.60.4
26.526.9
Auto4.7
Teleop19.9
End2.0
red by 10.2
5773
#34
16.41.0
17.416.4
Auto2.9
Teleop12.6
End0.9
Third
8084
#19
25.60.4
25.526.0
Auto4.7
Teleop19.6
End1.3
red by 14.3
11.31.0
12.411.3
Auto3.6
Teleop6.4
End1.3