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Red83
1034035.1
521224.5
881612.9
Blue102
949249.5
912838.8
851217.1
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51114010015083102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+15
Endgame+25
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave0
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points23
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +2
11Coral scored#10
39Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
49Total teleop47
Reef
3L4#6
4L3#5
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
14Foul points8
83Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.11.0
27.528.5
Auto9.2
Teleop20.3
End5.6
blue by 14.3
49.50.4
35.435.1
Auto9.6
Teleop32.6
End7.4
Second
5212
#16
24.51.0
13.814.8
Auto3.2
Teleop20.5
End0.8
blue by 14.2
9128
#17
38.80.4
48.548.2
Auto7.9
Teleop25.0
End5.9
Third
8816
#35
12.91.0
12.613.6
Auto3.7
Teleop7.0
End2.3
blue by 4.2
8512
#15
17.10.6
15.414.8
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
5%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsEarned