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Red127
586619.0
541162.7
851217.1
Blue115
1006213.9
521224.5
473437.1
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9959050150127115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+2Teleop
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave9
5Coral scored#3
26Coral points14
26Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +1
16Coral scored#13
59Coral points46
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#6
12Processor points18
16Net points24
28Algae points42
87Total teleop88
Reef
6L4#6
8L3#4
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#25
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
0Foul points0
127Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.72.0
49.551.5
Auto14.7
Teleop39.0
End9.1
red by 25.6
4734
#18
37.13.1
25.728.8
Auto8.5
Teleop24.4
End4.2
Second
5866
#24
19.02.0
17.319.2
Auto4.0
Teleop10.5
End4.6
blue by 5.5
5212
#16
24.53.1
15.818.9
Auto3.2
Teleop20.5
End0.8
Third
8512
#15
17.13.3
13.616.9
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End2.8
red by 3.2
13.93.1
11.814.9
Auto3.3
Teleop7.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned31%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed