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Red70
1006213.9
331042.1
697423.8
Blue92
406338.5
962019.1
754021.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions848270758090951007092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+32
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +25
10Coral scored#12
36Coral points43
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
6Processor points12
8Net points20
14Algae points32
50Total teleop75
Reef
3L4#4
4L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points0
70Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3310
#12
42.10.5
34.534.0
Auto8.7
Teleop26.5
End6.8
red by 3.5
38.51.2
37.238.4
Auto6.4
Teleop30.2
End2.0
Second
6974
#14
23.80.5
17.817.3
Auto3.1
Teleop17.1
End3.6
red by 2.8
7540
#34
21.01.2
9.710.9
Auto2.8
Teleop16.0
End2.2
Third
13.90.5
14.213.7
Auto3.3
Teleop7.9
End2.7
blue by 5.2
9620
#23
19.12.0
16.018.0
Auto3.5
Teleop16.2
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned11%Barge oddsMissed