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Red136
676824.3
950628.5
636979.1
Blue143
541162.7
1034035.1
473437.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1341316080100120160180200136143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+9Teleop
Endgame+1
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
5Coral scored#6
27Coral points28
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +16
17Coral scored#12
62Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
80Total teleop64
Reef
8L4#6
6L3#6
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
26Cage & park36
26Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points6
136Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.11.0
72.773.7
Auto19.8
Teleop47.1
End12.2
red by 16.4
62.71.0
59.960.9
Auto14.7
Teleop39.0
End9.1
Second
9506
#22
28.51.0
26.327.3
Auto3.6
Teleop19.3
End5.5
blue by 8.7
4734
#18
37.11.0
34.035.1
Auto8.5
Teleop24.4
End4.2
Third
6768
#31
24.31.0
22.023.0
Auto5.0
Teleop16.9
End2.5
blue by 10.8
35.11.0
27.728.7
Auto9.2
Teleop20.3
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned