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Red65
851217.1
754021.0
331042.1
Blue104
425119.7
406338.5
912838.8
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions721152040608010014016018065104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+35
Endgame+37
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +28
9Coral scored#14
32Coral points50
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
6Processor points12
16Net points20
22Algae points32
54Total teleop82
Reef
4L4#7
2L3#3
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points2
65Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3310
#12
42.10.1
35.535.4
Auto8.7
Teleop26.5
End6.8
red by 3.3
9128
#17
38.80.5
37.838.2
Auto7.9
Teleop25.0
End5.9
Second
7540
#34
21.00.1
11.811.8
Auto2.8
Teleop16.0
End2.2
blue by 17.5
38.50.5
39.539.9
Auto6.4
Teleop30.2
End2.0
Third
8512
#15
17.10.1
18.718.6
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End2.8
blue by 2.6
4251
#25
19.70.5
17.918.4
Auto4.9
Teleop11.0
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsMissed61%Barge oddsMissed