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Red111
852811.5
697423.8
541162.7
Blue93
415322.3
676824.3
874943.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114104608012014016011193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+10Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave9
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points10
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +6
16Coral scored#12
56Coral points42
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#2
6Processor points18
12Net points8
18Algae points26
74Total teleop68
Reef
6L4#6
5L3#3
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#19
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
111Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
62.70.2
60.961.1
Auto14.7
Teleop39.0
End9.1
red by 19.3
43.40.3
41.841.5
Auto9.4
Teleop26.2
End7.8
Second
6974
#14
23.80.2
20.520.7
Auto3.1
Teleop17.1
End3.6
blue by 0.5
6768
#31
24.30.3
23.022.8
Auto5.0
Teleop16.9
End2.5
Third
8528
#32
11.50.2
11.711.9
Auto2.9
Teleop5.6
End2.9
blue by 10.9
22.30.3
23.323.1
Auto4.6
Teleop13.0
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsMissed