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Red95
331042.1
913637.5
950628.5
Blue20
278924.7
425119.7
1006213.9
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1135802040801001401609520

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+63Teleop
+75Endgame
+75Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +66
15Coral scored#1
54Coral points4
0Processor algae#0
4Net algae#0
0Processor points0
16Net points0
16Algae points0
70Total teleop4
Reef
8L4#1
5L3#1
2L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
21Game pieces#2
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +75
0Foul points0
95Total score20

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3310
#12
42.10.3
35.435.1
Auto8.7
Teleop26.5
End6.8
red by 17.4
2789
#27
24.72.7
26.924.2
Auto5.8
Teleop14.9
End4.0
Second
9136
#11
37.50.3
37.537.1
Auto5.4
Teleop29.5
End2.6
red by 17.8
4251
#25
19.72.7
18.415.7
Auto4.9
Teleop11.0
End3.8
Third
9506
#22
28.50.3
27.327.0
Auto3.6
Teleop19.3
End5.5
red by 14.6
13.92.7
14.812.1
Auto3.3
Teleop7.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsMissed61%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsMissed