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Red109
636979.1
851217.1
406338.5
Blue51
962019.1
265713.6
750621.0
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15846010020010951

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+58Teleop
+58Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
6Leave6
5Coral scored#0
27Coral points0
33Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +31
12Coral scored#4
42Coral points15
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
60Total teleop29
Reef
6L4#1
4L3#2
5L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
21Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
0Foul points0
109Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.11.7
73.772.0
Auto19.8
Teleop47.1
End12.2
red by 58.1
7506
#19
21.00.5
19.619.1
Auto4.0
Teleop12.0
End5.0
Second
38.51.7
39.938.2
Auto6.4
Teleop30.2
End2.0
red by 19.5
9620
#23
19.10.6
21.721.2
Auto3.5
Teleop16.2
End-0.6
Third
8512
#15
17.12.1
18.616.5
Auto4.5
Teleop9.8
End2.8
red by 3.5
2657
#29
13.60.5
13.713.3
Auto3.2
Teleop7.0
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
37%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsEarned