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Red248
978619.2
636979.1
910563.8
Blue153
116432.7
1034035.1
697423.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1819450150200250248153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+73Teleop
+95Endgame
+95Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave0
8Coral scored#3
38Coral points16
44Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +45
31Coral scored#26
112Coral points95
4Processor algae#4
11Net algae#4
24Processor points24
44Net points16
68Algae points40
180Total teleop135
Reef
16L4#10
12L3#8
8L2#8
3L1 · trough#3
54Game pieces#37
BargeRed +22
24Cage & park2
24Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +95
0Foul points0
248Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.11.2
73.875.1
Auto19.8
Teleop47.1
End12.2
red by 44.0
35.10.6
33.233.8
Auto9.2
Teleop20.3
End5.6
Second
63.81.2
58.559.8
Auto14.2
Teleop40.8
End8.7
red by 31.0
1164
#10
32.70.6
30.831.4
Auto6.7
Teleop24.7
End1.4
Third
9786
#30
19.21.2
13.915.1
Auto3.7
Teleop13.5
End1.9
blue by 4.7
6974
#14
23.80.6
21.922.5
Auto3.1
Teleop17.1
End3.6