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Red61
913637.5
962019.1
521224.5
Blue114
473437.1
750621.0
406338.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8410520406012014016061114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+51
Endgame+53
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave3
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points20
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +37
10Coral scored#16
36Coral points59
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
50Total teleop87
Reef
4L4#8
5L3#4
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
14Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +53
0Foul points0
61Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9136
#11
37.50.6
38.137.5
Auto5.4
Teleop29.5
End2.6
blue by 1.0
38.50.4
38.138.5
Auto6.4
Teleop30.2
End2.0
Second
5212
#16
24.50.6
25.124.5
Auto3.2
Teleop20.5
End0.8
blue by 12.6
4734
#18
37.10.4
36.737.1
Auto8.5
Teleop24.4
End4.2
Third
9620
#23
19.10.6
19.619.1
Auto3.5
Teleop16.2
End-0.6
blue by 1.9
7506
#19
21.00.4
20.620.9
Auto4.0
Teleop12.0
End5.0