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Red70
384751.2
69018.7
912110.6
Blue38
541420.3
71389.3
887421.0
61%Model gave it39%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5955203040507080907038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+30Teleop
+28Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave6
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +20
7Coral scored#4
24Coral points16
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
12Processor points0
8Net points8
20Algae points8
44Total teleop24
Reef
4L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
6Foul points2
70Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.21.4
34.235.5
Auto14.1
Teleop28.7
End8.4
red by 30.2
21.01.4
16.014.7
Auto4.2
Teleop14.7
End2.1
Second
9121
#19
10.61.4
10.011.4
Auto3.3
Teleop5.5
End1.8
blue by 9.7
5414
#36
20.31.4
22.421.0
Auto4.2
Teleop15.1
End1.0
Third
6901
#15
8.71.4
7.79.0
Auto3.3
Teleop3.8
End1.6
blue by 0.5
7138
#14
9.31.4
9.88.5
Auto2.3
Teleop5.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
22%Auto oddsEarned25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed