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Red117
69018.7
801920.1
45731.7
Blue97
754012.9
861010.6
589228.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71512040608010012011797

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+2Teleop
+14Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave3
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +4
14Coral scored#16
52Coral points58
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#2
12Processor points18
16Net points8
28Algae points26
80Total teleop84
Reef
7L4#5
3L3#4
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#22
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
6Foul points0
117Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
457
#4
31.72.1
25.027.1
Auto6.3
Teleop18.4
End7.0
red by 3.6
5892
#20
28.12.3
19.021.3
Auto6.0
Teleop20.4
End1.7
Second
20.11.9
17.119.1
Auto4.0
Teleop13.9
End2.1
red by 7.2
7540
#12
12.92.4
13.415.8
Auto3.7
Teleop7.5
End1.6
Third
6901
#15
8.72.1
10.913.0
Auto3.3
Teleop3.8
End1.6
blue by 1.9
8610
#29
10.62.4
5.98.3
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsMissed