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Red31
59866.6
572615.6
541420.3
Blue56
750311.1
859810.8
914027.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5541020801003156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+29
Endgame+25
Fouls+25
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +29
4Coral scored#8
14Coral points29
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
18Total teleop47
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#14
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points0
31Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5414
#36
20.31.5
22.220.8
Auto4.2
Teleop15.1
End1.0
blue by 7.1
9140
#10
27.51.9
19.721.6
Auto3.2
Teleop23.2
End1.1
Second
5726
#26
15.61.5
13.812.3
Auto2.2
Teleop12.0
End1.4
red by 4.5
7503
#31
11.11.9
11.513.4
Auto3.1
Teleop6.8
End1.2
Third
5986
#25
6.61.5
10.28.7
Auto4.0
Teleop-0.8
End3.3
blue by 4.1
8598
#38
10.81.9
5.06.9
Auto2.6
Teleop8.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsMissed14%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed