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Red64
903419.8
510318.9
75216.1
Blue78
45731.7
887421.0
37437.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions486502040801006478

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+4
Endgame+16
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +6
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +2
9Coral scored#11
31Coral points39
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
51Total teleop49
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
2Foul points0
64Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9034
#17
19.81.6
17.118.7
Auto3.3
Teleop15.6
End1.0
blue by 11.9
457
#4
31.72.1
27.129.2
Auto6.3
Teleop18.4
End7.0
Second
5103
#16
18.91.6
13.415.1
Auto3.8
Teleop13.0
End2.0
blue by 2.1
21.02.1
14.316.4
Auto4.2
Teleop14.7
End2.1
Third
7521
#39
6.11.6
6.68.3
Auto1.6
Teleop4.4
End0.0
blue by 1.5
3743
#37
7.52.1
5.67.7
Auto2.9
Teleop4.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
8%Auto oddsMissed14%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsEarned