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Red46
572615.6
857311.9
861010.6
Blue88
557249.8
356119.3
96645.9
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3483020601001201401604688

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+28
Endgame+38
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points4
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +24
6Coral scored#11
21Coral points41
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
31Total teleop55
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#4
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
2Foul points6
46Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5726
#26
15.60.6
15.115.6
Auto2.2
Teleop12.0
End1.4
blue by 34.1
49.80.8
47.448.3
Auto12.1
Teleop30.8
End6.9
Second
8573
#27
11.90.6
11.311.9
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End2.2
blue by 7.4
3561
#18
19.30.8
18.519.3
Auto1.0
Teleop15.5
End2.7
Third
8610
#29
10.60.6
10.110.6
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End1.3
red by 4.7
9664
#34
5.90.8
5.15.9
Auto2.4
Teleop1.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsEarned