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Red101
557249.8
47177.9
45731.7
Blue92
941829.3
914027.5
43646.9
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1106320408010012014016010192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+1Teleop
+11Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
3Leave9
5Coral scored#0
26Coral points0
29Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +19
10Coral scored#16
36Coral points59
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
58Total teleop77
Reef
5L4#8
4L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points2
101Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.80.0
48.748.7
Auto12.1
Teleop30.8
End6.9
red by 20.4
29.30.5
26.527.0
Auto4.8
Teleop20.9
End3.7
Second
457
#4
31.70.0
30.630.6
Auto6.3
Teleop18.4
End7.0
red by 4.2
9140
#10
27.50.5
24.725.1
Auto3.2
Teleop23.2
End1.1
Third
4717
#32
7.90.0
7.37.3
Auto1.7
Teleop5.4
End0.7
red by 1.0
4364
#40
6.90.5
4.14.5
Auto3.1
Teleop2.6
End1.2