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Red71
711510.6
32446.3
761618.2
Blue37
952113.6
952415.6
811423.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions735001001507137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+40Teleop
+40Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +34
11Coral scored#4
41Coral points15
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
55Total teleop21
Reef
5L4#1
4L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#5
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points6
71Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
324
#4
46.30.6
34.735.3
Auto7.0
Teleop34.0
End5.4
red by 23.3
8114
#32
23.01.1
19.818.7
Auto3.5
Teleop16.6
End2.9
Second
7616
#17
18.20.6
16.617.2
Auto4.3
Teleop11.0
End2.9
red by 2.6
9524
#28
15.61.1
16.615.5
Auto2.7
Teleop12.2
End0.6
Third
7115
#22
10.60.6
10.210.8
Auto3.2
Teleop6.3
End1.2
blue by 3.0
9521
#30
13.61.1
11.210.1
Auto1.7
Teleop9.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsEarned18%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed