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Red68
930721.3
125519.1
952415.6
Blue80
1011828.5
769118.5
761618.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70800501001502002503003504006880

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
0Teleop0
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +3
10Coral scored#10
37Coral points36
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
6Processor points12
12Net points4
18Algae points16
55Total teleop52
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
68Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9307
#16
21.30.5
20.520.0
Auto3.8
Teleop15.6
End2.0
blue by 7.2
28.50.3
30.530.2
Auto6.1
Teleop13.9
End8.5
Second
1255
#23
19.10.5
19.318.8
Auto3.9
Teleop12.8
End2.4
red by 0.6
7691
#24
18.50.3
17.817.4
Auto3.1
Teleop13.5
End1.9
Third
9524
#28
15.60.5
17.316.8
Auto2.7
Teleop12.2
End0.6
blue by 2.6
7616
#17
18.20.3
16.215.9
Auto4.3
Teleop11.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed77%Barge oddsEarned