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Red124
811423.0
258540.1
590827.3
Blue107
258733.1
941913.5
23149.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93108050150200250300124107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
+17Teleop
+17Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousBlue +9
6Leave0
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points22
13Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +26
17Coral scored#11
61Coral points41
1Processor algae#2
7Net algae#4
6Processor points12
28Net points16
34Algae points28
95Total teleop69
Reef
6L4#5
6L3#5
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points0
124Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.11.9
38.940.8
Auto6.5
Teleop25.7
End7.9
blue by 9.3
231
#8
49.40.0
43.943.9
Auto8.6
Teleop32.1
End8.7
Second
5908
#14
27.31.9
22.824.7
Auto4.3
Teleop21.3
End1.6
blue by 5.8
2587
#26
33.10.0
32.132.1
Auto7.7
Teleop23.7
End1.7
Third
8114
#32
23.01.9
20.322.2
Auto3.5
Teleop16.6
End2.9
red by 9.5
9419
#34
13.50.0
16.516.5
Auto3.3
Teleop8.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsEarned