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Red195
589250.5
811423.0
11897.5
Blue69
507016.6
731227.9
590827.3
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15849010020025019569

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+108Teleop
+126Endgame
+126Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
6Leave6
7Coral scored#1
34Coral points3
40Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +77
23Coral scored#12
83Coral points44
4Processor algae#1
6Net algae#1
24Processor points6
24Net points4
48Algae points10
131Total teleop54
Reef
13L4#3
6L3#5
7L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#15
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +126
0Foul points0
195Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
97.53.4
85.789.1
Auto21.1
Teleop64.9
End11.5
red by 69.6
7312
#13
27.90.1
22.122.2
Auto4.4
Teleop22.0
End1.5
Second
50.53.4
28.131.4
Auto13.1
Teleop31.8
End5.5
red by 23.2
5908
#14
27.30.1
16.516.6
Auto4.3
Teleop21.3
End1.6
Third
8114
#32
23.03.4
14.317.6
Auto3.5
Teleop16.6
End2.9
red by 6.4
5070
#20
16.60.1
14.614.6
Auto3.9
Teleop9.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
59%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsMissed