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Red59
505219.9
811423.0
624323.3
Blue101
542736.9
589250.5
592311.5
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6210105015059101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+26
Endgame+36
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +19
9Coral scored#14
32Coral points51
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
46Total teleop65
Reef
3L4#6
2L3#5
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points6
59Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6243
#11
23.30.2
21.120.9
Auto5.3
Teleop15.3
End2.8
blue by 27.1
50.50.3
44.444.7
Auto13.1
Teleop31.8
End5.5
Second
8114
#32
23.00.2
22.222.0
Auto3.5
Teleop16.6
End2.9
blue by 13.9
36.90.3
36.636.9
Auto4.5
Teleop25.6
End6.7
Third
5052
#19
19.90.2
18.518.3
Auto2.7
Teleop15.0
End2.2
red by 8.4
5923
#25
11.50.3
9.810.1
Auto2.1
Teleop7.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
52%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsEarned