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Red109
952113.6
505219.9
749247.3
Blue70
258540.1
507016.6
125519.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8792608010012014010970

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+53Teleop
+41Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave6
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points3
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +39
18Coral scored#9
66Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
84Total teleop45
Reef
9L4#5
6L3#2
6L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
0Foul points2
109Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.31.7
45.246.9
Auto11.7
Teleop33.5
End2.1
red by 7.2
40.11.4
41.440.0
Auto6.5
Teleop25.7
End7.9
Second
5052
#19
19.91.7
18.219.9
Auto2.7
Teleop15.0
End2.2
red by 0.8
1255
#23
19.11.4
20.519.1
Auto3.9
Teleop12.8
End2.4
Third
9521
#30
13.61.7
11.913.6
Auto1.7
Teleop9.8
End2.1
blue by 3.0
5070
#20
16.61.4
18.016.6
Auto3.9
Teleop9.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed78%Barge oddsEarned