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Red62
664513.6
258540.1
505219.9
Blue74
769118.5
32446.3
875011.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions546802040801001201406274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+6
Fouls+12
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +11
7Coral scored#8
24Coral points29
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
6Processor points12
4Net points4
10Algae points16
34Total teleop45
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#2
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points6
62Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.10.9
28.229.1
Auto6.5
Teleop25.7
End7.9
blue by 6.2
324
#4
46.30.7
34.034.7
Auto7.0
Teleop34.0
End5.4
Second
5052
#19
19.90.9
12.713.6
Auto2.7
Teleop15.0
End2.2
red by 1.4
7691
#24
18.50.7
14.615.3
Auto3.1
Teleop13.5
End1.9
Third
6645
#33
13.60.9
8.08.9
Auto3.0
Teleop7.8
End2.8
red by 2.2
8750
#27
11.40.7
8.89.5
Auto2.9
Teleop6.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
13%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsEarned