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Qual 12025 FIRST In Texas District Championship - Mercury Division
Red150
910567.9
23154.1
373538.6
Blue163
129656.7
14869.9
949257.5
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147163100120140180200220150163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+5
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave9
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points17
16Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +5
23Coral scored#25
84Coral points89
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
18Processor points12
16Net points12
34Algae points24
118Total teleop113
Reef
7L4#8
7L3#7
7L2#7
5L1 · trough#6
33Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +8
16Cage & park24
16Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
150Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9105
#7
67.90.4
63.8→64.2
Auto14.3
Teleop46.4
End7.2
blue by 1.9
148
#2
69.90.6
63.3→63.9
Auto12.7
Teleop49.1
End8.1
Second
231
#6
54.10.4
49.4→49.8
Auto7.7
Teleop36.6
End9.8
blue by 3.4
9492
#16
57.50.6
49.5→50.1
Auto13.1
Teleop36.6
End7.8
Third
3735
#25
38.60.4
30.8→31.2
Auto8.6
Teleop28.4
End1.7
blue by 18.1
1296
#13
56.70.6
41.3→41.9
Auto5.1
Teleop43.3
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned