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Red101
582930.9
62461.8
464142.6
Blue74
965823.5
667252.0
258247.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115116809010011012010174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+37Teleop
+37Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave0
6Coral scored#2
31Coral points9
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +9
12Coral scored#9
44Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
58Total teleop49
Reef
8L4#5
4L3#2
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
2Foul points12
101Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#17
61.80.9
41.040.2
Auto14.5
Teleop41.9
End5.4
red by 9.8
6672
#14
52.03.2
40.337.1
Auto13.5
Teleop34.1
End4.3
Second
4641
#27
42.60.9
38.537.7
Auto13.0
Teleop27.3
End2.3
blue by 4.6
2582
#19
47.33.2
46.443.2
Auto6.7
Teleop33.5
End7.1
Third
5829
#18
30.90.9
29.228.4
Auto5.6
Teleop22.6
End2.7
red by 7.4
9658
#41
23.53.2
21.117.9
Auto4.7
Teleop18.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed85%Barge oddsEarned