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Qual 542025 FIRST In Texas District Championship - Mercury Division
Red150
808843.9
857650.8
965823.5
Blue152
817740.7
129656.7
303548.2
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10814050150200150152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+14
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points9
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +14
21Coral scored#25
76Coral points90
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#6
12Processor points12
24Net points24
36Algae points36
112Total teleop126
Reef
6L4#7
8L3#10
6L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
31Game pieces#35
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
150Total score152

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8576
#20
50.83.3
41.8→45.1
Auto4.7
Teleop38.4
End7.7
blue by 5.9
1296
#13
56.71.8
50.5→52.3
Auto5.1
Teleop43.3
End8.3
Second
8088
#30
43.93.3
40.5→43.8
Auto3.8
Teleop36.5
End3.6
blue by 4.3
3035
#12
48.21.8
42.4→44.1
Auto8.3
Teleop36.9
End3.0
Third
9658
#41
23.53.3
18.4→21.6
Auto4.7
Teleop18.1
End0.7
blue by 17.2
8177
#11
40.71.8
32.4→34.2
Auto8.0
Teleop24.2
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed30%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned88%Barge oddsEarned