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Red149
636982.6
473444.8
582930.9
Blue144
258739.4
874958.8
419238.9
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions181136100150200250149144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+15Teleop
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
4Coral scored#7
21Coral points37
30Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +22
19Coral scored#14
67Coral points51
4Processor algae#3
6Net algae#6
24Processor points18
24Net points24
48Algae points42
115Total teleop93
Reef
6L4#8
8L3#5
4L2#5
5L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
149Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
82.61.3
87.185.8
Auto22.2
Teleop51.9
End8.5
red by 23.8
58.80.5
49.750.2
Auto14.3
Teleop34.7
End9.8
Second
4734
#24
44.81.3
41.940.6
Auto8.2
Teleop32.7
End3.8
red by 5.3
2587
#29
39.40.5
39.439.9
Auto8.5
Teleop27.9
End3.1
Third
5829
#18
30.91.3
28.627.3
Auto5.6
Teleop22.6
End2.7
blue by 8.0
4192
#38
38.90.5
36.036.5
Auto8.0
Teleop29.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
37%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsMissed62%Barge oddsEarned