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Red141
1001453.1
648824.8
258542.6
Blue129
258352.2
637741.6
354533.0
17%Model gave it83%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11715350100200141129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+10
Endgame+6
+12Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave9
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points3
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +21
17Coral scored#23
60Coral points83
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
80Total teleop101
Reef
8L4#6
6L3#9
5L2#6
1L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#28
BargeRed +4
20Cage & park16
20Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +12
18Foul points0
141Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.10.6
40.240.8
Auto8.8
Teleop40.7
End3.6
red by 0.9
2583
#23
52.20.5
46.345.8
Auto12.4
Teleop38.7
End1.2
Second
2585
#20
42.60.6
38.338.9
Auto8.4
Teleop26.3
End7.9
red by 1.0
6377
#27
41.60.5
48.347.9
Auto10.1
Teleop30.0
End1.4
Third
6488
#38
24.80.6
22.923.5
Auto6.4
Teleop15.9
End2.4
blue by 8.3
3545
#34
33.00.5
30.930.4
Auto4.2
Teleop18.1
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
31%Coral oddsMissed51%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsEarned