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Red125
354533.0
367935.0
284852.7
Blue61
295021.8
356131.9
769123.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions152965020012561

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+16Auto
+50Teleop
+64Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousRed +16
0Leave9
7Coral scored#2
37Coral points12
37Total auto21
TeleoperatedRed +34
14Coral scored#7
52Coral points24
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
72Total teleop38
Reef
9L4#4
5L3#2
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#12
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +64
0Foul points0
125Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2848
#16
52.70.2
49.949.7
Auto15.0
Teleop34.9
End2.8
red by 20.8
3561
#30
31.92.0
36.234.2
Auto5.3
Teleop24.4
End2.2
Second
3679
#28
35.00.2
37.537.3
Auto9.5
Teleop24.1
End1.4
red by 11.6
7691
#43
23.42.0
27.525.5
Auto3.7
Teleop19.0
End0.6
Third
3545
#34
33.00.2
34.634.4
Auto4.2
Teleop18.1
End10.7
red by 11.3
2950
#33
21.82.0
22.320.3
Auto4.8
Teleop17.1
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned13%Barge oddsMissed