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Red49
550312.3
384742.4
950623.7
Blue114
1001439.9
635757.3
851522.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9611905015020049114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+65
Endgame+65
Fouls+65
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave0
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points26
16Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +55
3Coral scored#11
11Coral points40
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#5
6Processor points12
0Net points20
6Algae points32
17Total teleop72
Reef
1L4#5
2L3#5
0L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
5Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +65
0Foul points0
49Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.42.7
47.144.4
Auto9.7
Teleop23.9
End8.8
blue by 14.9
57.30.5
51.451.8
Auto9.4
Teleop41.3
End6.6
Second
9506
#11
23.72.7
27.825.1
Auto4.5
Teleop15.2
End4.0
blue by 16.2
39.90.5
39.539.9
Auto11.8
Teleop23.5
End4.6
Third
5503
#12
12.32.7
14.812.1
Auto3.6
Teleop7.0
End1.7
blue by 9.8
8515
#14
22.10.5
16.216.6
Auto5.7
Teleop14.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned68%Barge oddsEarned