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Red86
541441.2
999814.3
543128.8
Blue100
857644.9
1001439.9
957714.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7010705015020025086100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
Teleop+2
Endgame+10
Fouls+14
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave6
4Coral scored#1
19Coral points3
22Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +15
11Coral scored#15
40Coral points55
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
54Total teleop69
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#6
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
4Foul points8
86Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.20.6
39.339.9
Auto12.1
Teleop25.8
End3.3
blue by 3.7
8576
#10
44.90.0
38.938.9
Auto4.7
Teleop33.4
End6.8
Second
5431
#19
28.80.6
26.527.1
Auto4.5
Teleop22.7
End1.6
blue by 11.2
39.90.0
41.341.3
Auto11.8
Teleop23.5
End4.6
Third
9998
#17
14.31.0
7.58.5
Auto4.5
Teleop10.2
End-0.5
blue by 0.4
9577
#15
14.70.0
11.511.5
Auto3.6
Teleop9.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed68%Barge oddsMissed