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Red59
876919.4
617118.8
578826.8
Blue46
753510.8
850716.5
419228.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58492040801005946

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+15Teleop
+19Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave6
0Coral scored#0
1Coral points0
10Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +11
8Coral scored#6
27Coral points22
0Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
0Processor points6
16Net points4
16Algae points10
43Total teleop32
Reef
3L4#2
3L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#8
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points6
59Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.80.7
16.717.4
Auto6.0
Teleop19.9
End0.9
blue by 1.2
4192
#32
28.10.2
20.620.4
Auto5.3
Teleop21.1
End1.6
Second
8769
#31
19.40.7
16.817.4
Auto3.5
Teleop14.7
End1.2
red by 2.9
8507
#34
16.50.2
14.414.1
Auto2.6
Teleop9.9
End4.1
Third
6171
#22
18.80.7
15.316.0
Auto4.4
Teleop12.6
End1.7
red by 8.0
7535
#28
10.80.2
8.58.3
Auto2.9
Teleop5.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed