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Red44
690112.0
903429.1
850716.5
Blue68
33558.0
578826.8
887428.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54503040607080904468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+36
Endgame+30
Fouls+24
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +29
5Coral scored#11
19Coral points38
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
23Total teleop52
Reef
4L4#5
1L3#2
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#15
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
6Foul points0
44Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9034
#26
29.10.7
25.624.9
Auto3.5
Teleop23.9
End1.7
red by 0.5
28.61.5
24.626.1
Auto4.8
Teleop21.8
End2.0
Second
8507
#34
16.50.7
14.413.7
Auto2.6
Teleop9.9
End4.1
blue by 10.3
26.81.5
16.918.4
Auto6.0
Teleop19.9
End0.9
Third
6901
#10
12.00.7
8.57.8
Auto3.8
Teleop5.5
End2.6
red by 4.0
3355
#30
8.01.5
4.45.9
Auto4.2
Teleop2.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed25%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed