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Red65
667240.3
367626.2
914039.5
Blue80
941833.0
436414.1
578826.8
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116700501001502006580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+13
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave3
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points27
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +8
9Coral scored#8
34Coral points30
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
52Total teleop44
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#5
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
65Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.30.8
39.138.2
Auto10.5
Teleop25.3
End4.5
red by 7.3
9418
#13
33.00.2
32.332.4
Auto6.9
Teleop21.7
End4.3
Second
9140
#17
39.50.8
38.237.4
Auto4.3
Teleop33.2
End1.9
red by 12.6
26.80.2
26.126.3
Auto6.0
Teleop19.9
End0.9
Third
3676
#15
26.20.8
24.924.1
Auto4.7
Teleop15.8
End5.8
red by 12.1
4364
#16
14.10.2
13.313.5
Auto3.7
Teleop8.6
End1.8