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Red135
45741.3
876919.4
712136.5
Blue150
464138.5
543138.0
915628.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11711250100150200135150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+17
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave6
5Coral scored#6
23Coral points31
23Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +3
22Coral scored#21
78Coral points75
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
12Processor points6
8Net points20
20Algae points26
98Total teleop101
Reef
13L4#13
5L3#5
4L2#6
5L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#33
BargeRed +2
14Cage & park12
14Total endgame12
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
135Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
457
#4
41.30.2
41.141.3
Auto7.1
Teleop24.6
End9.5
red by 2.8
38.50.7
35.436.2
Auto9.4
Teleop26.1
End3.1
Second
7121
#14
36.50.2
36.436.5
Auto9.6
Teleop24.5
End2.4
blue by 1.5
5431
#11
38.00.7
34.935.7
Auto4.6
Teleop30.2
End3.2
Third
8769
#31
19.40.2
19.219.4
Auto3.5
Teleop14.7
End1.2
blue by 8.7
9156
#20
28.10.7
25.025.7
Auto6.8
Teleop17.5
End3.8