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Red74
749246.8
914060.8
637733.6
Blue116
258236.1
300567.2
998644.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1701785010015020025030074116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+20
Endgame+42
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points16
3Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +7
16Coral scored#16
57Coral points56
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
67Total teleop74
Reef
5L4#8
5L3#5
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points0
74Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9140
#31
60.85.6
64.458.8
Auto14.4
Teleop41.7
End4.7
blue by 6.4
3005
#38
67.22.8
92.289.4
Auto10.5
Teleop49.9
End6.8
Second
7492
#26
46.85.6
52.246.6
Auto11.1
Teleop32.9
End2.8
red by 2.5
44.34.7
19.014.3
Auto10.9
Teleop26.0
End7.4
Third
6377
#30
33.65.6
41.636.0
Auto5.8
Teleop27.3
End0.4
blue by 2.5
2582
#20
36.12.8
47.344.4
Auto7.4
Teleop23.4
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsMissed92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
52%Coral oddsMissed82%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed96%Barge oddsEarned