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Red146
32436.9
384741.3
118101.1
Blue32
857629.5
373522.8
624316.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23061010015020025030035040014632

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+98Teleop
+114Endgame
+114Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave6
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points3
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +77
18Coral scored#5
64Coral points19
2Processor algae#0
6Net algae#1
12Processor points0
24Net points4
36Algae points4
100Total teleop23
Reef
9L4#2
6L3#2
3L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
30Game pieces#7
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +114
0Foul points0
146Total score32

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
101.13.8
101.197.3
Auto17.4
Teleop73.0
End10.7
red by 71.7
29.53.5
31.628.0
Auto1.4
Teleop20.5
End7.5
Second
3847
#20
41.33.8
41.037.2
Auto10.4
Teleop25.0
End5.9
red by 18.5
3735
#11
22.83.5
23.920.4
Auto5.4
Teleop14.9
End2.5
Third
324
#4
36.93.8
54.951.1
Auto7.0
Teleop24.5
End5.4
red by 20.2
6243
#21
16.73.5
24.420.9
Auto4.5
Teleop11.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
100%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
95%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsMissed