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Red80
384741.3
999214.9
373522.8
Blue58
857629.5
99957.9
851519.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions795501001502008058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+32Teleop
+34Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +29
10Coral scored#4
35Coral points16
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
55Total teleop26
Reef
5L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#6
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points12
80Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
#20
41.30.1
40.941.0
Auto10.4
Teleop25.0
End5.9
red by 11.8
29.50.3
29.729.5
Auto1.4
Teleop20.5
End7.5
Second
3735
#11
22.80.1
22.422.5
Auto5.4
Teleop14.9
End2.5
red by 3.7
8515
#18
19.00.3
19.319.0
Auto3.9
Teleop13.2
End2.0
Third
9992
#16
14.90.1
14.414.5
Auto1.7
Teleop12.8
End0.3
red by 6.9
9995
#17
7.90.4
8.37.9
Auto2.0
Teleop5.7
End0.1