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Red47
557262.0
258542.6
458711.5
Blue98
258726.5
542726.9
999410.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140650501002002504798

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5572
Unranked
62.00.0
62.062.0
Auto17.8
Teleop34.8
End9.4
red by 35.2
5427
Unranked
26.90.0
26.926.9
Auto7.0
Teleop15.2
End4.7
Second
2585
Unranked
42.60.0
42.642.6
Auto8.4
Teleop26.3
End7.9
red by 16.1
2587
Unranked
26.50.0
26.526.5
Auto6.4
Teleop18.0
End2.1
Third
4587
Unranked
11.50.0
11.511.5
Auto2.5
Teleop7.4
End1.7
red by 0.7
9994
Unranked
10.80.0
10.810.8
Auto2.3
Teleop7.4
End1.6