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Red12
851521.9
999510.8
12722.2
Blue109
258726.5
542726.9
999410.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5274010015020025012109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
127
Unranked
22.20.0
22.222.2
Auto3.2
Teleop17.6
End1.4
blue by 4.7
5427
Unranked
26.90.0
26.926.9
Auto7.0
Teleop15.2
End4.7
Second
8515
Unranked
21.90.0
21.921.9
Auto4.4
Teleop14.3
End3.2
blue by 4.6
2587
Unranked
26.50.0
26.526.5
Auto6.4
Teleop18.0
End2.1
Third
9995
Unranked
10.80.0
10.810.8
Auto2.3
Teleop7.4
End1.6
Level
9994
Unranked
10.80.0
10.810.8
Auto2.3
Teleop7.4
End1.6