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Red154
947830.8
837017.3
118101.1
Blue128
258726.5
542726.9
999410.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions184540100150200250300350154128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
Unranked
101.10.0
101.1101.1
Auto20.8
Teleop70.4
End9.9
red by 74.2
5427
Unranked
26.90.0
26.926.9
Auto7.0
Teleop15.2
End4.7
Second
9478
Unranked
30.80.0
30.830.8
Auto6.4
Teleop21.5
End3.0
red by 4.3
2587
Unranked
26.50.0
26.526.5
Auto6.4
Teleop18.0
End2.1
Third
8370
Unranked
17.30.0
17.317.3
Auto5.0
Teleop12.2
End0.0
red by 6.5
9994
Unranked
10.80.0
10.810.8
Auto2.3
Teleop7.4
End1.6